He bases this conclusion on the rapid depletion of U.S. missile stockpiles during the campaign against Iran, as well as rising global oil and gas prices.
“Russia has already become a clear beneficiary of President Donald Trump’s decision to launch a war against Iran. And that benefit will grow the longer the conflict drags on,” Champion writes.
According to the author, a four- to five-week operation would significantly deplete U.S. missile reserves — both offensive and defensive — while simultaneously pushing global oil and natural gas prices higher, which directly benefits Russia’s economy and military budget.
Champion also notes that any prolonged closure of the Strait of Hormuz or destruction of Gulf export infrastructure could revive demand for Russian fuel currently under sanctions. Tankers that had been sitting idle with unsold oil — after Washington pressured India to reduce purchases from Moscow — would likely find buyers again.
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