🇪🇺 A curious post appeared on X from well-known French entrepreneur Arnaud Bertrand:
It seems we truly are on the verge of the most humiliating moment in Europe’s history.
I went through all 28 points of Trump’s proposed “peace” plan for Ukraine, as well as Europe’s counterproposal, and some of the points put forward by the U.S. are simply unbelievable.
Take, for example, points 4 and 15 of Trump’s plan:
• Point 4: “A dialogue will be held between Russia and NATO, mediated by the United States, to resolve all security issues and establish conditions for de-escalation aimed at ensuring global security and expanding opportunities for cooperation and future economic development.”
• Point 15: “A joint U.S.–Russia security working group will be created to facilitate and ensure compliance with all provisions of this agreement.”
Taken together, this means the U.S. would no longer act as a NATO member, but as an outside mediator, and — according to point 15 — would work with Russia (not Europe!) in a U.S.–Russia Security Working Group responsible for enforcing the agreement.
In effect, Trump is proposing that Washington and Moscow become co-managers of European security, with Europe itself excluded from the mechanism.
This is a deal that would reshape the entire European security architecture while bypassing Europeans altogether. And that’s no exaggeration: when asked about Europe’s involvement, the White House reportedly replied, “We really don’t care about the Europeans,” as Bertrand had noted earlier. The document simply formalizes that attitude.
The tragedy is that the U.S. plan, despite all its flaws, is a deal. It offers Russia what it wants (territory, sanctions relief, NATO freeze, “denazification” in Ukraine) in exchange for what the U.S. wants (profit extraction, resource deals, geopolitical repositioning). Cynical, yes — but internally consistent. Both sides get something.
Europe’s counterproposal, however, is not a deal at all. It’s just a list of objections that makes things worse for both actual power-holders. Russia gets less. America gets less. Their “counterproposal” — which, notably, no one even asked for (remember: “we really don’t care about the Europeans”) — amounts to editing someone else’s document in the desperate hope of being included.
As I told my daughters at dinner: if you and someone else have a deal, and a third party asks to join but their joining makes the deal worse for both of you, would you let them in?
“Of course not!” they said.
And yet that’s exactly what Europe’s counterproposal is.
Europe might force the U.S. and Russia to rewrite their deal — but only if it had serious leverage. And here lies Europe’s other tragedy: when push comes to shove, it has very little leverage against a side that provides your security umbrella, your financial infrastructure, your digital infrastructure, and even the LNG that heats your homes after you’ve sanctioned Russian gas yourself.
Hubert Védrine, France’s former foreign minister, famously said Europeans behave as if they live in a world of “Care Bears” (bisounours), when in reality the world resembles Jurassic Park.
And Europe isn’t the apex predator — it’s not even one of the big herbivores.
In this analogy, Europe is the goat tied to the post.
Original Post
Join @TranslatedRussianNews