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Просмотр поста #156 от 2022-08-15 13:08:33

1️⃣ 🇨🇰 Reserve Bank of New Zealand rate decision on Wednesday. According to forecasts, the key rate will be increased from 2.5% to 3%. If expectations come true, the New Zealand dollar will have the opportunity to strengthen its positions, which could lead to an increase in the NZD/USD pair to 0.6500.

2️⃣ 📊 England inflation data on Wednesday. Analysts predict inflation to rise to 9.8%, which will accelerate the process of sliding the economy into recession. Against this background, the GBP/USD pair may fall to 1.1900.

3️⃣🛢Data on US oil inventories on Wednesday. It is expected that stocks of oil and oil products rose last week, which could put additional pressure on Brent and WTI, provoking a decrease in their value to $92 and $85 respectively;

4️⃣ 🇺🇸 Minutes of the last meeting of the US Federal Reserve on Wednesday. According to forecasts, the US regulator will once again signal its readiness for further rate hikes in order to fight inflation. Against this background, the dollar index (DXY) may test 107.00;

Последние посты канала:

🇺🇸The yield of US two-year government bonds reached a 15-year high, which is favorable for the growth of the dollar.

👉Investment idea: buy limit USDJPY 143.44, take profit 144.02.
👑 The price of gold is strongly influenced by several factors, one of the key ones is the real yield of US 10-year government bonds. Only for calculations it is necessary to use not current inflation in the States, but inflation expectations over a 10-year horizon, which are published monthly by Michigan State University - this is a common practice in financial markets.

🧮The rule here is simple: the higher the real yield, the cheaper gold, and vice versa. The current yield is 1.35% - the yield of the Treasuries themselves is growing rapidly, while inflation expectations are rising slowly. As a result, we get a positive difference, which has been increasing for the last six months. Since real yields hit a new high since 2011, gold has a high chance of falling by 5-10% and testing the $1,500 per ounce mark in the medium term.

👉 Investment idea: sell limit XAUUSD 1641, take profit 1614
September 26th

GBPUSD Sell position
Support levels: 1.0615 – 1.0513
Resistance levels: 1.0690 – 1.0785

#DAX30 Sell position
Support levels: 12087 – 11920
Resistance levels: 12310 – 12489
The British composite PMI index, which includes business activity in industry and services, is below 50 points for the second month in a row, which signals an approaching economic crisis in the United Kingdom.

👉 Investment idea: sell limit GBPJPY 160.31, take profit 159.43
🇨🇳The Central Bank of China continues the smooth devaluation of the yuan.

The geopolitical confrontation with the United States is gaining momentum. The depreciation of the yuan is favorable for the growth of incomes of Chinese exporters and negative for the incomes of American corporations.

👉Investment idea: buy limit USDCNH 7.1005, take profit 7.1455.
The US Federal Reserve has published fresh statistics on the American banking system.

💰 Dollar liquidity decreased by $154.9 billion over the past week, which is negative for the US stock market.

👉 Investment idea: sell limit #SP500 3766, take profit 3722.
September 22th

USDJPY Buy position
Support levels: 144.98 – 144.27
Resistance levels: 145.56 – 146.01

#SP500 Sell position
Support levels: 3737 – 3659
Resistance levels: 3810– 3868
📉 ETHUSD has fallen by 28.6% over the past 10 days.

The downtrend is gaining momentum and the breakdown of the support level of 1216 allows us to count on a decline in quotations in the area of 1122.

👉 Investment idea: sell ETHUSD 1210, take profit 1122
The US Federal Reserve on Wednesday evening, as expected, raised the discount rate by 0.75% and promised to raise the rate by another 1.25% by the end of the year.

🤵 ‍ ♂ ️“My main message is that the FOMC is determined to reduce inflation,” Powell said during a press conference.

Further aggressive growth in interest rates is negative for the US stock market.

👉 Investment idea: sell limit #NQ100 11611, take profit 11450.
🇺🇸The yield of US 10-year government bonds broke through a forty-year downtrend and rushed up, which is negative for the precious metals market.

📉We expect gold to decline to the nearest support level of 1655.

👉 Investment idea: sell limit XAUUSD 1676, take profit 1655.
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